Norges Bank

Staff Memo

Revisiting imputed consumption expenditure during the recent tightening cycle in Norway

Forfatter:
Magnus Haare Gulbrandsen, Sjur Løne Nilsen and Erlend Njølstad
Serie:
Staff Memo
Nummer:
13/2025

Abstract

We impute household-level consumption expenditure in Norway (2009-2023) using
administrative register data. Employing established methodologies, we decompose
income and net wealth changes into active savings and consumption expenditure. After excluding households with measurement challenges, we retain 86% of households. The contributions are twofold. First, we describe and implement a transparent framework for imputing consumption expenditure which can be updated as new register data becomes available. Our measure of consumption expenditure shows strong comovement with the National Accounts (correlation 0.9). Second, we illustrate how imputed consumption expenditure can be used to examine household heterogeneity across households and time. We document that consumption declined most among highly indebted households in 2023, reflecting higher interest expenses and weaker disposable income growth relative to other households. These results demonstrate how imputed consumption expenditure can be used to examine heterogeneity in household responses to changes in economic conditions.

Staff Memo inneholder utredninger og dokumentasjon skrevet av Norges Banks ansatte og andre forfattere tilknyttet Norges Bank. Synspunkter og konklusjoner i arbeidene er ikke nødvendigvis representative for Norges Bank.

ISSN 1504-2596 (online)

Publisert 12. november 2025 09:30
Publisert 12. november 2025 09:30