A suite-of-models approach to stress-testing financial stability
- Henrik Andersen, Tor O. Berge, Eivind Bernhardsen, Kjersti-Gro Lindquist and Bjørn Helge Vatne
- Staff Memo
This paper presents a suite of models developed to stress-test financial stability. A macro model is linked to micro data-based models for households, firms and banks. The macro model includes credit- and consumer confidence-driven house prices and feed-back effects from credit and house prices to the real economy, i.e. a financial accelerator. The consumer confidence effect helps us mimic non-linearity in the housing market. We use the macro model to design stress scenarios, which are fed into the three micro models. The household and firm models enable us to analyse pockets of credit risk. The bank model sums it all up by providing estimates of bank profitability and capital adequacy.
Staff Memos present reports and documentation written by staff members and affiliates of Norges Bank, the central bank of Norway. Views and conclusions expressed in Staff Memos should not be taken to represent the views of Norges Bank.
ISSN 1504-2596 (online)