Norges Bank

Staff Memo

Inferring Land Values in Oslo

Author:
Anna Emilie Iden, Plamen Nenov and Sonja Plaku
Series:
Staff Memo
Number:
7/2026

Abstract

Land is a major and rising component of the cost of new housing, yet land prices are rarely directly observed in Norway. Following the methodology of Davis and Heathcote (2007), we construct a quarterly land price series for residential housing in Oslo over the period 2003 – 2025. The land price is the difference between the price of a used home and the replacement cost of the structure. We find that real land prices rose to about three and a half times their 2003 level and the implied land share of new housing costs rose from about a third to just over half. Land prices are also more volatile than construction costs and account for much of the cyclical variation in house prices.

Staff Memos present reports and documentation written by staff members and affiliates of Norges Bank, the central bank of Norway. Views and conclusions expressed in Staff Memos should not be taken to represent the views of Norges Bank.

ISSN 1504-2596 (online)

Published 11 November 2026 08:30
Published 11 November 2026 08:30