| Differansen mellom tremåneders pengemarkedsrente i Norge1) og hos handelspartnerne2) og importveid valutakursindeks (I-44)3). 1. kv. 2008 - 4. kv. 2019 4) |
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| 1) Styringsrente i referansebanen med påslag i det norske
pengemarkedet. Beregningene er basert på at varslede renteendringer prises inn i pengemarkedet. 2) Terminrenter for handelspartnerne per 16. september 2016. 3) Stigende kurve betyr sterkere kronekurs. 4) Anslag for 3. kv. 2016 - 4. kv. 2019 (stiplet). Kilder: Thomson Reuters og Norges Bank |
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| Three-month
money market rate differential between Norway1) and trading partners2) and import-weighted exchange rate index (I-44)3). 2008 Q1 - 2019 Q44) |
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| 1) Key policy rate in the baseline scenario plus premiums in the
Norwegian money market. The calculations are based on the assumption that announced interest rate changes are priced into the money market. 2) Forward rates for trading partners at 16 September 2016. 3) A positive slope denotes a stronger krone exchange rate. 4) Projections for 2016 Q3 - 2019 Q4 (broken lines). Sources: Thomson Reuters and Norges Bank |
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| Innhold | Index | Anslag/Forecast | ||||||
| 3 mnd. rentedifferanse PPR 2/16 | I-44 PPR 2/16 | I-44 PPR 3/16 | 3 mnd. rentedifferanse PPR 3/16 | |||||
| Three-month rate differential MPR 2/16 | I-44 MPR 2/16 | I-44 MPR 3/16 | Three-month rate differential MPR 3/16 | |||||
| 31.03.2008 | 1,64 | 88,42 | 88,42 | 1,64 | ||||
| 30.06.2008 | 1,90 | 87,25 | 87,25 | 1,90 | ||||
| 30.09.2008 | 1,97 | 89,11 | 89,11 | 1,97 | ||||
| 31.12.2008 | 1,97 | 98,40 | 98,40 | 1,97 | ||||
| 31.03.2009 | 1,63 | 96,14 | 96,14 | 1,63 | ||||
| 30.06.2009 | 1,26 | 95,10 | 95,10 | 1,26 | ||||
| 30.09.2009 | 1,09 | 94,08 | 94,08 | 1,09 | ||||
| 31.12.2009 | 1,38 | 89,99 | 89,99 | 1,38 | ||||
| 31.03.2010 | 1,63 | 89,25 | 89,25 | 1,63 | ||||
| 30.06.2010 | 1,81 | 89,90 | 89,90 | 1,81 | ||||
| 30.09.2010 | 1,79 | 90,78 | 90,78 | 1,79 | ||||
| 31.12.2010 | 1,53 | 91,10 | 91,10 | 1,53 | ||||
| 31.03.2011 | 1,45 | 89,12 | 89,12 | 1,45 | ||||
| 30.06.2011 | 1,38 | 87,84 | 87,84 | 1,38 | ||||
| 30.09.2011 | 1,56 | 87,42 | 87,42 | 1,56 | ||||
| 31.12.2011 | 1,61 | 87,92 | 87,92 | 1,61 | ||||
| 31.03.2012 | 1,36 | 87,65 | 87,65 | 1,36 | ||||
| 30.06.2012 | 1,32 | 87,58 | 87,58 | 1,32 | ||||
| 30.09.2012 | 1,35 | 87,22 | 87,24 | 1,34 | ||||
| 31.12.2012 | 1,32 | 85,76 | 85,76 | 1,32 | ||||
| 31.03.2013 | 1,35 | 85,57 | 85,57 | 1,35 | ||||
| 30.06.2013 | 1,30 | 87,52 | 87,52 | 1,27 | ||||
| 30.09.2013 | 1,22 | 90,05 | 90,05 | 1,22 | ||||
| 31.12.2013 | 1,18 | 92,61 | 92,61 | 1,18 | ||||
| 31.03.2014 | 1,20 | 93,10 | 93,10 | 1,19 | ||||
| 30.06.2014 | 1,31 | 91,45 | 91,45 | 1,31 | ||||
| 30.09.2014 | 1,35 | 93,09 | 93,09 | 1,35 | ||||
| 31.12.2014 | 1,33 | 97,04 | 97,04 | 1,34 | ||||
| 31.03.2015 | 1,17 | 100,99 | 100,99 | 1,17 | ||||
| 30.06.2015 | 1,29 | 100,22 | 100,19 | 1,30 | ||||
| 30.09.2015 | 1,08 | 105,06 | 105,06 | 1,08 | ||||
| 31.12.2015 | 0,99 | 107,42 | 107,42 | 1,02 | ||||
| 31.03.2016 | 1,00 | 108,10 | 108,12 | 1,00 | ||||
| 30.06.2016 | 0,94 | 106,00 | 105,86 | 0,94 | ||||
| 30.09.2016 | 0,72 | 106,12 | 105,50 | 1,02 | ||||
| 31.12.2016 | 0,60 | 106,16 | 104,05 | 0,95 | ||||
| 31.03.2017 | 0,60 | 106,06 | 103,99 | 0,86 | ||||
| 30.06.2017 | 0,56 | 105,83 | 103,86 | 0,74 | ||||
| 30.09.2017 | 0,51 | 105,52 | 103,60 | 0,74 | ||||
| 31.12.2017 | 0,51 | 105,22 | 103,44 | 0,73 | ||||
| 31.03.2018 | 0,50 | 104,83 | 103,21 | 0,73 | ||||
| 30.06.2018 | 0,49 | 104,44 | 103,05 | 0,75 | ||||
| 30.09.2018 | 0,49 | 104,00 | 102,90 | 0,78 | ||||
| 31.12.2018 | 0,50 | 103,63 | 102,66 | 0,80 | ||||
| 31.03.2019 | 0,53 | 103,39 | 102,50 | 0,85 | ||||
| 30.06.2019 | 0,59 | 103,19 | 102,32 | 0,93 | ||||
| 30.09.2019 | 0,66 | 103,04 | 102,14 | 1,01 | ||||
| 31.12.2019 | 102,91 | 102,00 | ||||||