NBIM
Quarterly Performance Report Third quarter 2006
Government Pension Fund - Global
Norges Bank's foreign exchange reserves
Investment portfolio
Buffer portfolio
Government Petroleum Insurance Fund
Oslo, November 2006
Norges Bank Investment Management
Contents
- Introduction and key figures
- Market developments
- Government Pension Fund - Global
- Norges Bank's foreign exchange reserves
- Investment portfolio
- Buffer portfolio
- Government Petroleum Insurance Fund
Appendices
The report in Adobe Acrobat format (320kb)
1.1 Upswing in equity and bond prices
After a sharp drop towards the end of the second quarter, equity prices
in the largest global markets rallied in the third quarter. Companies in
the telecommunications and utilities sectors performed best, while falling
oil prices led to a downturn in oil & gas shares. After falling in
both the first and second quarters, bond prices recovered in the third.
Over the first three quarters as a whole, returns were positive in all of
the main bond markets.
The upswing in the capital markets resulted in positive returns on all
of the portfolios managed by NBIM. The Government Pension Fund - Global
and the investment portfolio in Norges Bank's foreign exchange reserves
both generated a positive return in the third quarter of approximately 4.0
per cent measured in the relevant currency basket. The Government
Petroleum Insurance Fund, which is invested only in fixed income
instruments, generated a positive return of approximately 2.5 per cent.
Global equity markets have performed strongly in recent years (see Chart
1-1). Since the beginning of 2003, the Japanese, European and US markets
have gained 99, 75 and 59 per cent respectively. An index of equities in
24 emerging markets has risen 170 per cent in the same period.
Chart 1-1: Movements in equity prices since 1 January 2003

Chart 1-2 shows returns on the bond markets measured as the change in
the Lehman Global Aggregate government bond indices since 1 January 2003.
The indices for Europe, the US and Asian-Pacific have risen by 16.5, 11.7
and 3.9 per cent respectively during the period.
Chart 1-2: Movements in the bond markets since 1 January 2003

Return of 3.94 per cent on the Government Pension Fund - Global
The return on the Government Pension Fund - Global in the third quarter
of 2006 was 3.94 per cent measured in terms of the currency basket
corresponding to the composition of the fund's benchmark portfolio. The
return on the equity portfolio was 5.14 per cent, and the return on the
fixed income portfolio was 3.13 per cent. The return on the Pension Fund's
portfolio was 0.16 percentage point lower than the return on the benchmark
portfolio defined by the Ministry of Finance. The market value of the
portfolio at the end of the quarter was NOK 1,712,3 billion.
Return of 4.10 per cent on the investment portfolio
The return on the investment portfolio in Norges Bank's foreign exchange
reserves in the third quarter of 2006 was 4.10 per cent measured in terms
of the currency basket corresponding to the composition of the portfolio's
benchmark portfolio. The return on the equity portfolio was 5.51 per cent,
and the return on the fixed income portfolio was 3.20 per cent. The return
on the investment portfolio was 0.01 percentage point higher than the
return on the benchmark portfolio defined by Norges Bank's Executive
Board. The market value of the portfolio at the end of the quarter was NOK
223.1 billion.
Return of 2.52 per cent on the Government Petroleum Insurance Fund
The return on the Government Petroleum Insurance Fund in the third
quarter of 2006 was 2.52 per cent measured in terms of the currency basket
corresponding to the composition of the fund's benchmark portfolio. The
return on the Petroleum Insurance Fund's portfolio was 0.01 percentage
point higher than the return on the benchmark portfolio defined by the
Ministry of Petroleum and Energy. The market value of the portfolio at the
end of the quarter was NOK 15.5 billion.
1.2 Total assets under management NOK 1,954 billion
Assets under the management of NBIM grew by NOK 225 billion during the
third quarter. Transfers of new capital totalled NOK 78 billion, while a
positive return on investment and a weaker krone in relation to the
investment currencies increased the market value of the assets by NOK 70
billion and NOK 77 billion respectively. Assets under management totalled
NOK 1,954 billion at the end of the third quarter of 2006 (see Table 1-1).
Table 1-1: Return in the third quarter and market value on 30 September
2006
| Return in currency | Return in NOK | NOK |
| | Actual portfolio | Benchmark portfolio | Actual portfolio | Benchmark portfolio | Excess return | Market value in billions |
Government Pension Fund - Global | 3.94 | 4.09 | 8.30 | 8.46 | -0.16 | 1 712 |
Investment portfolio | 4.10 | 4.09 | 8.46 | 8.44 | 0.01 | 223 |
Government Petroleum Insurance Fund |
2.52 | 2.50 | 7.06 | 7.04 | 0.01 | 16 |
Total |
|
|
|
|
| 1 9541 |
Chart 1-3: Growth in assets under management. In billions of NOK

Chart 1-3 shows growth in total assets under management since the end of
1999.
1.3 Negative excess return of NOK 2.1 billion in the third quarter
NBIM's management is measured against benchmark portfolios defined by
its clients. One important goal for its management is to generate a
somewhat higher return over time on the actual portfolios than on the
benchmark portfolios. In the third quarter, the Government Pension Fund -
Global generated a negative excess return, while the investment portfolio
and the Government Petroleum Insurance Fund generated a positive excess
return. The aggregate negative excess return on the portfolios managed by
NBIM was NOK 2.1 billion.
Chart 1-4 shows the cumulative excess return since the formation of NBIM
in January 1998. The aggregate excess return during the period is NOK 27.7
billion. This breaks down into NOK 25.6 billion on the Government Pension
Fund - Global, NOK 2.0 billion on the investment portfolio, and NOK 0.1
billion on the Government Petroleum Insurance Fund.
Chart 1-4: Cumulative gross excess return from 1 January 1998 to 30
September 2006. In millions of NOK

Table 1-2 provides an overview of risks and returns since 1 January 1998
for the portfolios managed by NBIM.
Table 1-2: Risks and returns to 30 September 2006. Annualised
| Last 12 months | Last 3 years | Last 5 years | Since 01.01.98 |
Return/excess return2 |
|
|
|
|
Pension Fund | 10.00 | 8.79 | 4.60 | 5.99 |
Benchmark portfolio | 9.53 | 8.25 | 4.08 | 5.52 |
Excess return | 0.48 | 0.54 | 0.53 | 0.47 |
Investment portfolio | 8.77 | 6.79 | 4.48 | 5.78 |
Benchmark portfolio | 8.62 | 6.60 | 4.20 | 5.58 |
Excess return | 0.14 | 0.19 | 0.28 | 0.19 |
Insurance Fund | 5.74 | 3.77 | 4.66 | 3.74 |
Benchmark portfolio | 5.69 | 3.64 | 4.53 | 3.66 |
Excess return | 0.05 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.08 |
Standard deviation3 | | | | |
Pension Fund | 9.58 | 8.28 | 9.17 | 8.53 |
Investment portfolio | 9.23 | 7.87 | 7.88 | 7.11 |
Insurance Fund | 7.91 | 7.31 | 7.08 | 6.50 |
Tracking error4 | | | | |
Pension Fund | 0.50 | 0.34 | 0.31 | 0.38 |
Investment portfolio | 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 0.23 |
Insurance Fund | 0.03 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 0.15 |
Information ratio (IR)5 | | | | |
Pension Fund | 0.90 | 1.48 | 1.64 | 1.18 |
Investment portfolio | 0.91 | 1.14 | 1.55 | 0.79 |
Insurance Fund | 1.30 | 2.12 | 1.68 | 0.50 |
2. Market developments
Fixed income markets
Bond yields in the main markets fell during the third quarter. Ten-year
government bond yields fell by approximately 0.51 percentage point in the
US, 0.36 percentage point in the euro area, 0.25 percentage point in
Japan, and 0.17 percentage point in the UK (see Chart 2-1). Since the
beginning of the year, yields have nevertheless risen by 0.2 to 0.4
percentage point in all of the main markets.
Chart 2-1: Movements in the most important bond markets over the last
12 months. Yields on government bonds with approximately ten years to
maturity. Per cent per year

Growth in the global economy is still strong, although there have
recently been signs of a slight slowdown in both the US and Japan. In the
euro area, however, economic growth has accelerated slightly. The somewhat
lower growth rate in the US is due primarily to domestic factors such as
weaker demand for consumer durables and a decline in housing investment.
There has been a decrease in housing starts, house prices and sales of
both new and existing homes, and there has been little employment growth
in the construction sector.
There are signs to suggest that inflationary pressure in the US economy
has eased slightly in recent months. This is due to falling energy prices
and lower growth in prices outside the energy sector. Lower inflation
expectations have helped to push down bond yields. Having raised its key
interest rate at every monetary policy meeting from June 2004 to June
2006, the Federal Reserve left its key rate unchanged at 5.25 per cent
throughout the third quarter.
Economic growth in Japan was previously driven largely by the export
sector. This has changed, with domestic private consumption and investment
playing a much larger role. As a result of strong economic growth and
rising energy prices, there has been a slight increase in the rate of
inflation in Japan in recent months. In July, the Bank of Japan raised its
key interest rate for the first time since August 2000, by 25 basis
points.
China's economic growth remains strong, with GDP climbing by more than
10 per cent annually. Growth is being driven by high levels of domestic
investment and brisk export activity. The People's Bank of China has
attempted to curb activity by raising its key interest rates and its
reserve requirement.
Buoyant domestic demand and healthy growth in the export sector are
fuelling continued strong growth in the euro area. Unemployment is still
high but has been falling in recent months. In most euro countries, the
rate of inflation is between 2 and 3 per cent. The ECB decided to raise
its key interest rate by 25 basis points to 3.0 per cent in the third
quarter. The Bank of England also raised its key rate by 25 basis points
during the quarter.
Chart 2-2 shows movements in the Lehman Global Aggregate government bond
indices in the main markets over the last 12 months. The third quarter of
2006 brought returns of 3.1 per cent in Europe, 2.4 per cent in
Asian-Pacific, and 3.7 per cent in the US.
Chart 2-2: Movements in Lehman Global Aggregate government bond indices
in the main markets over the last 12 months (31.12.05 = 100)

The spread between yields on corporate and government securities (credit
spread) is low and changed little in the third quarter. The global default
rate (defaulted bonds as a percentage of the total volume outstanding) has
held at low and stable levels in recent months. Healthy corporate earnings
have contributed to these low default rates and credit spreads. Low
interest rates and good access to liquidity have contributed to brisk
demand for securities with relatively high returns.
Chart 2-3 shows movements in the spread between corporate bonds with a
good credit rating and government bonds in the US.
Chart 2-3: Spread between yields on corporate and government securities
in the US. Basis points

Equity markets
Global equity prices recovered in the third quarter after a sharp drop
at the end of the second quarter. Following a period of falling prices
through to mid-July, there was stable and positive price growth in the US,
European and emerging markets through to the end of the quarter. In Japan,
equity prices fell in September. (See Chart 2-4.)
Over the quarter as a whole, prices in Europe, Japan, the US and
emerging markets rose by 6.8, 2.4, 5.4 and 4.3 per cent respectively. In
the year to date, the FTSE indices for European and emerging markets have
shown a return of more than 10 per cent, while the Japanese equity market
has produced a return of just over 1 per cent.
Chart 2-4: Movements in the FTSE equity indices for the main markets
over the last 12 months (31.12.05 = 100). In local currencies

Generally speaking, earnings are still high at listed companies in the
largest equity markets, and the majority of listed companies in the US
reported stronger earnings than expected. Lower long-term bond yields and
reduced inflation expectations contributed to the upswing. Signals from
the Federal Reserve that the monetary policy tightening cycle in the US is
over helped to allay fears that the US economy is facing recession.
Reduced focus on troubles in the Middle East, progress in the talks
concerning Iran's nuclear programme, and a marked drop in oil prices were
other factors which impacted positively on equity prices.
Table 2-1 shows equity price movements in the main sectors and the ten
largest sub-sectors of the FTSE All-World Index in the third quarter of
2006. There were positive returns in most of the main sectors during the
quarter. The exceptions were Basic Materials and Oil & Gas. Falling
oil prices and drops in the prices of some raw materials contributed to
the negative performance in these sectors. Telecommunications and
Utilities were the strongest-performing sectors. In the year to date,
Utilities is the sector which has performed the best, while Technology has
performed the worst.
Table 2-1: Return on the main sectors and the ten largest sub-sectors
of the FTSE All-World Index in the third quarter of 2006. Measured against
USD, NOK and the benchmark portfolio's currency basket. Per cent
| USD | NOK | Currency basket |
Oil & Gas | -3.24 | 1.36 | -2.71 |
Oil & Gas Producers | -2.34 | 2.31 | -1.80 |
Basic Materials | -1.19 | 3.51 | -0.65 |
Industrials | 1.52 | 6.35 | 2.07 |
Consumer Goods | 6.56 | 11.63 | 7.14 |
Health Care | 6.84 | 11.92 | 7.42 |
Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology | 6.76 | 11.84 | 7.34 |
Consumer Services | 4.33 | 9.30 | 4.90 |
General Retailers | 3.89 | 8.83 | 4.45 |
Media | 4.20 | 9.16 | 4.77 |
Telecommunications | 9.31 | 14.51 | 9.91 |
Fixed Line Telecommunications | 9.87 | 15.10 | 10.47 |
Utilities | 8.44 | 13.60 | 9.03 |
Financials | 6.93 | 12.02 | 7.51 |
Banks | 6.39 | 11.45 | 6.97 |
Nonlife Insurance | 7.91 | 13.04 | 8.50 |
General Financial | 6.84 | 11.92 | 7.42 |
Technology | 7.96 | 13.09 | 8.55 |
Software & Computer Services | 8.05 | 13.19 | 8.64 |
Hardware & Equipment | 7.91 | 13.04 | 8.49 |
Total6 | 4.83 | 9.81 | 5.40 |
3. Government Pension Fund - Global
Key figures for the third quarter of 2006
- Market value NOK 1,712.3 billion on 30 September
- Return for the period in international currency:
- Overall: 3.94 per cent
- Equities: 5.14 per cent
- Fixed income: 3.13 per cent
- Excess return -0.16 percentage point
- Annualised management costs (excluding performance-based fees) 0.07
per cent of assets under management
- Transfers of new capital NOK 79.5 billion
- Four new external equity mandates
- Three new external fixed income mandates, including one for
investments in mutual funds
The fund's market value
The fund's market value was NOK 1,712.3 billion at the end of the third
quarter, an increase of NOK 207.2 billion during the quarter. New capital
equivalent to NOK 79.5 billion was transferred to the fund. A weaker krone
in relation to the investment currencies and a positive return in
international currency increased the value of the fund by NOK 66.3 billion
and NOK 61.5 billion respectively. A change in the krone exchange rate has
no effect, however, on the fund's international purchasing power.
Table 3-1 shows the market value of the fund at the end of the last five
quarters, and the change in market value in the third quarter of 2006 due
to transfers of new capital, the return on the portfolio in international
currency, and changes in the international value of the krone. For the
accounting values, see Tables 1 and 2 in Appendix 1.1.
Table 3-1: Changes in the fund's market value over the last 12 months.
In millions of NOK
| Equity management | Fixed income management | Total |
30 September 2005 | 522 691 | 758 454 | 1 281 145 |
31 December 2005 | 582 305 | 816 746 | 1 399 050 |
31 March 2006 | 606 890 | 877 019 | 1 483 909 |
30 June 2006 | 609 879 | 895 143 | 1 505 022 |
Transfers of new capital | 18 552 | 60 915 | 79 467 |
Return | 32 686 | 28 802 | 61 488 |
Change in krone value | 26 770 | 39 527 | 66 297 |
30 September 2006 | 687 887 | 1 024 387 | 1 712 273 |
The fund has grown by NOK 431 billion in the last 12 months (see Chart
3-1). NOK 286 billion has been transferred to the fund, the return on the
fund has been NOK 105 billion, and a weaker krone in relation to the
investment currencies has increased the value of the fund by NOK 41
billion. The chart shows that a weaker krone increased the value of the
fund particularly in the third quarter of 2006. In the year to date,
movements in the krone have increased the value of the fund by just over
NOK 12 billion.
Chart 3-1: Quarterly change in the market value of the fund over the
last 12 months. In billions of NOK

Since 1 January 1998, the fund has grown by NOK 1,599 billion (see Chart
3-2). NOK 1,277 billion has been transferred to the fund during the
period. The return on the fund measured in international currency has
increased the value of the fund by NOK 376 billion, whereas a stronger
krone in relation to the investment currencies has reduced the value of
the fund by NOK 54 billion.
Chart 3-2: Market value of the Government Pension Fund - Global
1998-2006. In billions of NOK

Return on the fund
The return on the fund in the third quarter of 2006 was 3.94 per cent
measured in terms of the currency basket corresponding to the composition
of the fund's benchmark portfolio. The return was positive in all three
months thanks to rising prices in all of the main equity and bond markets.
Over the quarter as a whole, the return on the equity portfolio was 5.14
per cent. The fixed income portfolio generated a return of 3.13 per cent
measured in terms of the currency basket.
Measured in NOK, the aggregate return in the third quarter was no less
than 8.30 per cent. The difference is due to the approximately 4.4 per
cent depreciation of the krone against the currencies in the benchmark
portfolio during the quarter. It was mainly in August and September that
the krone depreciated against the investment currencies. Table 3-2 shows
the monthly return measured in terms of the benchmark portfolio's currency
basket and in NOK, while Table 3-3 shows the return in the third quarter
measured in various currencies.
Table 3-2: Return on the fund in the third quarter of 2006. Per cent
| | Return measured in terms of the benchmark
currency basket | Return measured in NOK |
| | Actual portfolio | Benchmark portfolio | Actual portfolio | Benchmark portfolio | Excess return |
Q1 | 2.24 | 2.04 | 0.25 | 0.06 | 0.20 |
Q2 | -1.55 | -1.45 | -3.30 | -3.20 | -0.10 |
July | 0.87 | 1.06 | 0.00 | 0.19 | -0.19 |
August | 1.83 | 1.82 | 4.34 | 4.33 | 0.01 |
September | 1.19 | 1.16 | 3.80 | 3.76 | 0.03 |
Q3 | 3.94 | 4.09 | 8.30 | 8.46 | -0.16 |
Year to date | 4.62 | 4.68 | 4.99 | 5.05 | -0.05 |
Table 3-3: Return in the third quarter of 2006 measured in different
currencies. Per cent
| Equities | Fixed income | Total |
Fund's currency basket | 5.14 | 3.13 | 3.94 |
Import-weighted currency basket | 5.29 | 3.28 | 4.09 |
USD | 4.57 | 2.57 | 3.38 |
EUR | 5.55 | 3.54 | 4.35 |
NOK | 9.54 | 7.45 | 8.30 |
The return achieved by Norges Bank on the actual portfolio is measured
in relation to the return on the benchmark portfolio defined by the
Ministry of Finance. The difference between the return figures is the
gross excess return achieved by Norges Bank. During the third quarter, the
return on the fund was 0.16 percentage point lower than the return on the
benchmark portfolio. In absolute terms, the negative excess return was
approximately NOK 2.1 billion. External equity and fixed income management
contributed a negative excess return, while internal equity and fixed
income management generated a positive excess return.
Over the last 12 months, the cumulative excess return has been 0.47
percentage point. During the three years to the end of the third quarter
of 2006, the annualised excess return was 0.54 percentage point (see Chart
3-3).
Chart 3-3: Monthly (right-hand scale) and three-year rolling excess
return (left-hand scale). Per cent

Transaction costs are incurred when phasing in new capital and when
changing the regional weights for the fund's investments. Norges Bank has
estimated the direct and indirect transaction costs associated with
phasing in new capital and changing the regional weights at NOK 161.6
million in the third quarter of 2006.
Chart 3-4: Quarterly return on the fund measured in terms of the
benchmark portfolio's currency basket. Per cent

This amounted to 0.20 per cent of the total amount transferred, i.e. NOK
79.5 billion, and 0.01 per cent of the market value of the fund at the
beginning of the quarter. The transaction costs year to date is estimated
to NOK 533.8 million. The benchmark portfolio has not been adjusted for
these transaction costs. This means that the excess return reported is
lower than it would have been if the costs associated with phasing in new
capital had been excluded. See Appendix 3 for a discussion of the
methodology underlying the calculations, and the article Phasing-in
costs in the Petroleum Fund published in April 2005 in connection with
the 2004 annual report for a discussion of phasing-in costs in the fund.
Since the first equity investments were made in 1998, the average
quarterly return measured in terms of the benchmark portfolio's currency
basket has been 1.52 per cent. There has been a negative return in ten out
of 35 quarters. Chart 3-4 shows the quarterly returns.
Since 1997, the fund has generated an annualised annual gross return of
6.3 per cent. Once management costs and inflation are deducted, the annual
net real return has been 4.4 per cent. Table 3-4 shows the annualised
return up to the end of the third quarter of 2006 since 1 January in each
of the years from 1997 to 2005. The right-hand column in the table shows
that the gross excess return has averaged 0.45 percentage point per year
since 1 January 1997.
Table 3-4: Annual rates of return on the fund up to the end of the
third quarter of 2006 measured in terms of the benchmark portfolio's
currency basket. Per cent per year
| Gross annual return | Annual inflation7 | Annual management costs | Annual net real return | Annual gross excess return |
Since 01.01.97 | 6.33 | 1.77 | 0.09 | 4.39 | 0.45 |
Since 01.01.98 | 6.02 | 1.77 | 0.09 | 4.08 | 0.47 |
Since 01.01.99 | 5.61 | 1.88 | 0.09 | 3.56 | 0.51 |
Since 01.01.00 | 4.63 | 1.97 | 0.10 | 2.51 | 0.41 |
Since 01.01.01 | 5.01 | 1.97 | 0.10 | 2.88 | 0.43 |
Since 01.01.02 | 6.65 | 2.13 | 0.10 | 4.32 | 0.50 |
Since 01.01.03 | 9.92 | 2.19 | 0.10 | 7.45 | 0.56 |
Since 01.01.04 | 8.96 | 2.42 | 0.10 | 6.28 | 0.56 |
Since 01.01.05 | 8.99 | 2.45 | 0.10 | 6.28 | 0.57 |
The cumulative return on the fund from 1 January 1998 until the end of
the third quarter of 2006 was NOK 321 billion. This is shown by the yellow
area in Chart 3-5. Equity management accounted for NOK 187.2 billion, or
58%, of the cumulative return on the fund. The red line in the chart shows
the cumulative return on the equity portfolio. Between August 2001 and
November 2004, the cumulative return on the equity portfolio was negative,
and so all returns have come in the ensuing period of just under two
years. The market value of the equity portfolio at the end of the quarter
was 37.9 per cent higher than the average purchase price.
The blue line in the chart shows that the fixed income portfolio has
been far more stable in terms of cumulative return. Fixed income
management accounted for NOK 134.3 billion, or 42%, of the cumulative
return on the fund.
Chart 3-5: Cumulative return on the fund 1998-2006. In millions of NOK

Since 1998, the cumulative return on the benchmark portfolio has been
60.4 per cent, whereas the actual return has been 66.7 per cent (see Chart
3-6). The cumulative gross excess return measured in terms of the currency
basket has been 6.4 percentage points, or NOK 25.6 billion.
Chart 3-6: Index for cumulative actual return and benchmark return
measured in terms of the currency basket (left-hand scale) and quarterly
gross excess return in percentage points (right-hand scale)

Internal and external management
At the end of the third quarter, 22 per cent of the fund was managed by
external investment managers. Costs associated with external management
accounted for 64 per cent of total management costs. External management
accounted for approximately 59 per cent of the overall risk associated
with active management (see Chart 3-7).
The external managers are primarily engaged in active management,
whereas a larger part of the internal management is based on enhanced
indexing. Active management is much more expensive than index management,
and this partly explains why unit costs for external management are far
higher than those for internal management. Management costs for external
and internal management during the third quarter amounted to 0.30 and 0.05
per cent respectively of assets under management. External managers with
specialist expertise are used to achieve sufficient breadth and scope in
active management, and the excess return from external managers has
clearly exceeded the additional costs.
Chart 3-7: Distribution of portfolio, management costs and active risk8between
internal and external management. Per cent

Fixed income management
The market value of the portfolio increased by NOK 129.2 billion to NOK
1,024.4 billion in the third quarter. NOK 60.9 billion was transferred to
the portfolio during the period. A positive return on investment and a
weaker krone increased the value of the portfolio by NOK 28.8 billion and
NOK 39.5 billion respectively. At th end of the quarter, approximately 89
per cent of the portfolio was managed internally by Norges Bank.
There are two main types of management. One is indexing and active
management directly related to the indexing task. The objective of this
enhanced indexing is to maintain a portfolio that is very close to the
benchmark, while taking advantage of special pricing situations to achieve
an excess return. Three sub-portfolios are indexed: government-guaranteed
bonds, corporate bonds and securitised bonds. The three sub-portfolios are
indexed internally, with the exception of securitised bonds in the US,
which are managed externally.
Active management follows an investment philosophy based on
specialisation and delegation of decisions, and is performed by both
internal and external managers. To achieve the aim of specialisation, a
group structure has been established where each group is tasked with a
limited investment universe.
Approximately 11 per cent of the portfolio is managed by external
managers. Besides the mandates for US securitised bonds, this portion
includes active mandates with a variety of strategies for outperforming
the benchmark. The choice of external managers is viewed as an investment
decision where different mandates are allocated capital or phased out on
the basis of analyses of liquidity and expected future excess returns.
In the third quarter of 2006, capital was transferred to three new
mandates assigned to external managers: Ellington Management Group and
Barclays Global Investors N.A. were both awarded mandates for specialist
management in the US, a Fund investment mandate was awarded Smith Breeden Associates Inc
Equity management
The market value of the equity portfolio was NOK 687.9 billion at the
end of the third quarter, an increase of NOK 78.0 billion during the
period. NOK 18.6 billion was transferred to the portfolio during the
period. A positive return on investment increased the value of the
portfolio by NOK 32.7 billion, while a weaker krone increased its value by
NOK 26.8 billion.
At the end of the quarter, approximately 62 per cent of the portfolio
was managed internally by Norges Bank. Part of the portfolio is managed in
an enhanced indexing portfolio. Other internal active management has been
built up gradually in recent years, and consists of portfolio managers
focusing both on fundamental analysis-based stock-picking in the
financial, telecommunication, energy, media and trade sectors globally,
and on relative value strategies. Over the last year, these mandates have
been converted to the "absolute return" type, i.e. the
portfolios strike a balance between long (owned) and short (borrowed)
equity positions. Equities are borrowed from a central index portfolio or
in the market. This set-up leaves NBIM free to focus and dimension its
internal management independently of capital delegated to external
managers.
Approximately 38 per cent of the portfolio is managed by external
managers. All of the external equity mandates have defined their own
benchmark portfolios and risk limits. The regional mandates have benchmark
portfolios consisting of the companies included in the FTSE index for a
geographical region, such as Continental Europe, the UK, the US and Japan.
The sector mandates have benchmark portfolios in sectors such as finance,
technology, health care, oil and gas, utilities, trade, media and
telecommunications.
Capital was transferred to four new mandates assigned to external equity
managers during the quarter: Fidelity Pensions Management, Atlantis Fund
Management Ltd. and Scheer, Rowlett & Associates Investment Management
Ltd. were awarded regional mandates, while Wellington Management Company
LLP was awarded a sector mandate.
Market risk
Fluctuations in the global equity and fixed income markets lead to
variations in the market value of the fund. The fund's expected volatility
is a statistical measure which estimates the "normal" variations
in the market value of the fund over the next year. As illustrated in
Chart 3-8, the equity portfolio's absolute volatility decreased slightly
in the third quarter after increasing in the second. When it comes to the
fixed income portfolio, there have been only small changes in market risk
over the last four years. This stability reflects the way that the fixed
income markets are normally far more stable than the equity markets.
Chart 3-8: Absolute volatility at each month-end. Per cent. Measured in
NOK

The Ministry of Finance has set a limit on the extent to which the
fund's portfolio may differ from the benchmark portfolio. This has been
accomplished by setting a limit for the expected deviation between the
returns on the actual portfolio and the benchmark portfolio. This limit
for relative market risk in the management of the portfolio has been
defined as 1.5 percentage point expected relative volatility, or tracking
error (see Appendix 4).
Expected volatility can vary widely even with an unchanged level of
active management. This is because these measures are influenced by
various market developments, such as changes in market volatility and
changes in correlations between the various asset classes and securities.
The red line in Chart 3-9 shows developments in expected tracking error
since December 1998. The chart shows that there has been a slight increase
in expected tracking error over the last 12 months. In the third quarter,
there was a decrease in expected tracking error due to reduced volatility
in the capital markets. In retrospect, we can use the variation in the
deviation between the returns on the actual and benchmark portfolios (i.e.
the variation in excess return) as a measure of actual relative market
risk (the blue line in the chart). This tracking error is annualised using
12-month rolling windows.
Chart 3-9: Expected tracking error and actual tracking error. Basis
points

Norges Bank tests whether the actual excess return on the fund varies in
line with what might be expected based on the risk model used. This is
illustrated in Chart 3-10. The chart shows the realised monthly excess
return from October 2002 (dots) and a confidence interval measured as the
standard deviation. The model indicates that in approximately 67 per cent
of cases, the actual return should be within the interval formed by the
green lines. The equivalent figures for the orange and red intervals are
95 and 99 per cent respectively. The chart indicates that the actual
return is in line with what might be expected given the risk model used,
and analyses of longer time series give similar results.
Chart 3-10: Confidence interval for risk and realised excess return.
Basis points

Chart 3-11 shows developments in expected tracking error in the equity
and fixed income portfolios over the last 12 months. Relative market risk
is higher in equity management than in fixed income management.
Chart 3-11: Expected tracking error at each month-end over the last 12
months. Basis points. Measured in NOK

Information ratio
The information ratio is a measure of skill in active management. It is
the ratio of gross excess return for the year to relative market risk
(measured here as the actual standard deviation of the gross excess
return). The average information ratio for the fund from the first quarter
of 1998 to the third quarter of 2006 was 1.19, annualised. Table 3-5
provides a historical overview of the information ratio for the fund as a
whole and for each asset class.
Table 3-5: Information ratios
Period | Fund | Equities | Fixed income |
Last 12 months | 0.90 | 0.54 | 2.60 |
Since 2002 | 1.51 | 0.86 | 3.13 |
Since 1999 | 1.28 | 1.01 | 2.00 |
Guidelines for management
Through the Regulation on the Management of the Government Pension Fund
- Global and guidelines for investments, the Ministry of Finance has set
limits for risk and exposure. These limits and the portfolio's actual
exposure are shown in Table 3-6. There were no significant breaches of the
investment guidelines during the quarter.
Table 3-6: Risk and exposure limits stipulated in the regulation and
guidelines
| Risk | Limits | Actual |
| | | | 30.09.05 | 31.12.05 | 31.03.06 | 30.06.06 | 30.09.06 |
§5 | Market risk | Maximum tracking error 1.5 percentage point | 0.29 | 0.33 | 0.34 | 0.50 | 0.33 |
§4 | Asset mix | Fixed income 50-70% | 59.2 | 58.4 | 59.1 | 59.5 | 59.8 |
| | | Equities 30-50% | 40.8 | 41.6 | 40.9 | 40.5 | 40.2 |
§4 | Market distribution, equities9 | Europe 40-60% | 47.7 | 47.3 | 48.5 | 49.0 | 49.1 |
|
| Americas and Africa 25-45% |
|
|
| 36.1 | 35.5 |
|
| Asia and Oceania 5-25% |
|
|
| 14.9 | 15.4 |
| | | Americas, Africa, Asia and Oceania 40-60% | 52.3 | 52.7 | 51.5 |
|
|
| | Currency distribution, fixed income9 | Europe 50-70% | 54.5 | 55.1 | 55.5 | 60.8 | 60.0 |
|
| Americas and Africa 25-45% | 35.3 | 34.8 | 34.2 | 32.6 | 34.7 |
| | | Asia and Oceania 0-15% | 10.2 | 10.1 | 10.4 | 6.6 | 5.5 |
§6 | Ownership stake | Maximum 5% of a company | 3.0 | 2.7 | 3.9 | 4.7 | 4.5 |
Table 3-7 shows the composition of the bond portfolio (fixed income
portfolio excluding cash) based on credit ratings from Moody's and
Standard & Poor's (S&P). In the table, government securities and
government-guaranteed bonds without credit ratings have been assigned the
credit rating of the issuing country. In addition to bonds, the fixed
income portfolio contains fixed income instruments with shorter
maturities. These all have credit ratings of P-1 from Moody's and A-1 from
S&P.
Table 3-7: The bond portfolio on 30 September 2006 by credit rating.
Percentage of market value
Moody's | Standard & Poor's |
Rating | Percentage of total | Rating | Percentage of total |
Aaa | 50.93 | AAA | 49.24 |
Aa | 18.14 | AA | 18.20 |
A | 16.66 | A | 14.93 |
Baa | 8.27 | BBB | 8.78 |
Ba | 0.47 | BB | 0.64 |
Lower | 0.14 | Lower | 0.15 |
No rating | 5.39 | No rating | 8.06 |
Costs
The management agreement between the Ministry of Finance and Norges Bank
establishes the principles for Norges Bank's remuneration for managing the
Government Pension Fund - Global. For 2006, this remuneration is to cover
the Bank's actual costs, provided that these costs are less than 0.10 per
cent of the fund's average market value. Fees to external managers for
excess return achieved are also covered. Norges Bank has entered into
agreements concerning performance-based fees with the majority of external
active managers in accordance with principles approved by the Ministry of
Finance.
Table 3-8: Management costs in the first three quarters of 2006. In
thousands of NOK and as a percentage of the average portfolio
| Q1-Q3 2006 | Q1-Q3 2005 |
| NOK
1 000 | Per cent |
| NOK
1 000 |
Internal costs, equity management | 153 219 |
| 112 860 |
|
Custodian and fund administration costs | 81 063 |
| 39 499 |
|
Total costs, internal equity management | 234 282 | 0.08 | 152 359 | 0.07 |
|
|
|
|
|
Internal costs, fixed income management | 124 094 |
| 110 947 |
|
Custodian and fund administration costs | 45 338 |
| 33 387 |
|
Total costs, internal fixed income management | 169 432 | 0.03 | 144 334 | 0.03 |
Minimum fees to external managers | 298 227 |
| 258 564 |
|
Performance-based fees to external managers | 315 857 |
| 197 419 |
|
Other costs, external management | 89 842 |
| 80 036 |
|
Total costs, external management | 703 926 | 0.30 | 536 019 | 0.29 |
Total management costs | 1 107 639 | 0.10 | 832 712 | 0.10 |
Total management costs excluding performance-based fees | 791 783 | 0.07 | 635 293 | 0.08 |
In addition to the Pension Fund, NBIM manages the Government Petroleum
Insurance Fund and the bulk of Norges Bank's foreign exchange reserves.
Fees to external managers and external settlement and custodian
institutions are invoiced separately for each fund. The other operating
costs are overheads shared by all the funds managed by NBIM. These shared
overheads are distributed between the three funds using a cost
distribution key. The shared overheads also include the cost of support
functions provided by other parts of Norges Bank. These latter costs are
calculated in accordance with the guidelines that apply to business
operations at Norges Bank.
Annualised, costs in the first three quarters of 2006 amounted to 0.10
per cent of the average market value of the fund (see Table 3-8).
Excluding performance-based fees to external managers, costs amounted to
0.07 per cent of the market value of the fund. By way of comparison, costs
in the first three quarters of 2005 amounted to 0.08 per cent of market
value.
For internal management, there was no change in the ratio of costs to
assets under management from the first three quarters of 2005 to the first
three quarters of 2006. For external management, the ratio increased
slightly, due mainly to a rise in performance-based fees to external
managers. Fees to most external managers are calculated on the basis of
the average excess return generated by that manager over a number of
years. There is therefore no direct link between the fees charged to the
accounts and the excess return generated in a particular year.
Costs are distributed between internal and external management using a
cost distribution key for internal costs and custodian costs. External
management accounted for approximately 64 per cent of costs, whereas only
approximately 22 per cent of the fund's portfolio is managed externally.
The unit cost of internal management was approximately 0.05 per cent,
compared with 0.30 per cent for external management.
Key figures for the third quarter of 2006
Investment portfolio
- Market value NOK 223.1 billion on 30 September
- Return for the period in international currency:
- Overall: 4.10 per cent
- Equities: 5.51 per cent
- Fixed income: 3.20 per cent
- Excess return 0.01 percentage point
- One new external management mandate
Buffer portfolio
- NOK 79.5 billion transferred to the Government Pension Fund - Global
- NOK 40.6 billion transferred from the State's Direct Financial
Interest in petroleum activities (SDFI)
- NOK 37.8 billion transferred from Norges Bank's own foreign exchange
purchases
- Market value NOK 2.7 billion on 30 September
- Return for the period of 6.2 per cent measured in NOK
The investment portfolio's market value
The investment portfolio's market value was NOK 223.1 billion at the end
of the third quarter, an increase of NOK 17.4 billion during the quarter.
A positive return on investment accounted for NOK 8.6 billion of this
increase, while a weaker krone against the currencies in which the
portfolio is invested increased its value by a further NOK 8.8 billion. A
change in the krone exchange rate has no effect, however, on the
portfolio's international purchasing power.
Table 4-1 shows the market value of the portfolio at the end of the last
five quarters, and the change in market value in the third quarter of 2006
due to the return on the portfolio in international currency and changes
in the international value of the krone.
Table 4-1: Market value of the investment portfolio over the last 12
months, and change in market value in the third quarter of 2006. In millions
of NOK
| Equity management | Fixed income management | Total |
30 September 2005 | 66 005 | 137 209 | 203 213 |
31 December 2005 | 70 669 | 140 817 | 211 486 |
31 March 2006 | 83 495 | 129 174 | 212 670 |
30 June 2006 | 79 754 | 125 934 | 205 688 |
Transfers of new capital | - | - | - |
Return | 4 485 | 4 080 | 8 564 |
Change in krone value | 3 433 | 5 394 | 8 827 |
30 September 2006 | 87 672 | 135 407 | 223 079 |
Chart 4-1 shows movements in the portfolio's market value since 1998
measured in NOK.
Chart 4-1: Market value of the investment portfolio 1998-2006. In
billions of NOK

Return on the portfolio
The return on the investment portfolio in the third quarter of 2006 was
4.10 per cent measured in terms of the benchmark portfolio's currency
basket (see Table 4-2). Measured in NOK, the aggregate return in the third
quarter was 8.46 per cent. The return measured in NOK was higher because
the krone depreciated in relation to the currencies in the benchmark
portfolio during the quarter.
The gross actual return on the investment portfolio was 0.01 percentage
points higher than the return on the benchmark portfolio. In absolute
terms, the excess return in the third quarter of 2006 was NOK 15 million.
Internal fixed income management generated a positive excess return, while
both external fixed income and internal equity management made a negative
contribution.
Table 4-2: Return on the investment portfolio. Actual and benchmark
portfolios in the third quarter of 2006. Per cent
| | Return measured in terms of the benchmark
currency basket | Return measured in NOK |
| | Actual portfolio | Benchmark portfolio | Actual portfolio | Benchmark portfolio | Excess return |
Q1 | 1.62 | 1.54 | -0.37 | -0.45 | 0.08 |
Q2 | -1.53 | -1.48 | -3.28 | -3.24 | -0.04 |
July | 1.15 | 1.09 | 0.25 | 0.19 | 0.06 |
August | 1.79 | 1.80 | 4.31 | 4.32 | -0.01 |
September | 1.10 | 1.15 | 3.71 | 3.75 | -0.04 |
Q3 | 4.10 | 4.09 | 8.46 | 8.44 | 0.01 |
Year to date | 4.17 | 4.12 | 4.51 | 4.46 | 0.05 |
Since 1 January 1998, the average quarterly return measured in
international currency has been 1.43 per cent. Chart 4-2 shows the
quarterly returns. There has been a negative return in seven out of 35
quarters.
Chart 4-2: Quarterly returns 1998-2006 measured in terms of the
portfolio's currency basket. Per cent

Table 4-3 shows the percentage return on the investment portfolio since
1998. The return has been calculated in relation to the portfolio's
currency basket. Until the end of 2000, the entire portfolio was invested
in government or government-guaranteed bonds. Since 2001, however, some of
the portfolio has also been invested in equities, and since 2003 some in
non-government-guaranteed bonds.
Table 4-3: Annual rates of return on the investment portfolio measured
in terms of the portfolio's currency basket. Per cent per year
| | Nominal annual return | Annual inflation10 | Management costs | Annual net real return | Annual gross excess return |
Since 01.01.98 | 5.77 | 1.83 | 0.06 | 3.80 | 0.19 |
Since 01.01.99 | 5.26 | 1.95 | 0.06 | 3.19 | 0.23 |
Since 01.01.00 | 6.24 | 2.04 | 0.07 | 4.06 | 0.25 |
Since 01.01.01 | 5.86 | 2.02 | 0.07 | 3.70 | 0.27 |
Since 01.01.02 | 6.60 | 2.17 | 0.07 | 4.26 | 0.29 |
Since 01.01.03 | 7.81 | 2.21 | 0.06 | 5.41 | 0.27 |
Since 01.01.04 | 6.64 | 2.47 | 0.06 | 4.99 | 0.18 |
Since 01.01.05 | 7.59 | 2.50 | 0.06 | 4.90 | 0.22 |
The table shows that the annual net real return since 1 January 1998 has
been 3.80 per cent after deductions for inflation and management costs.
The right-hand column shows that the gross excess return in relation to
the portfolio's benchmark has averaged 0.19 percentage point per year
since 1 January 1998.
Chart 4-3 shows the cumulative return from 1 January 1998 for the fixed
income and equity portfolios. The cumulative return on fixed income
investments for the period as a whole has been 59.9 per cent. Since the
first equity investments were made in January 2001, the cumulative return
has been 35.8 per cent on the fixed income portfolio and 11.2 per cent on
the equity portfolio. The chart shows that the overall cumulative return
is slightly higher than the cumulative return on each of the two asset
classes. This is due to the transfer of funds to the asset class which has
given the weaker performance and therefore had an underweight. If this
asset class subsequently performs strongly relative to the other, the
overall cumulative return may exceed the return on each of the two asset
classes.
Chart 4-3: Index for cumulative return on the asset classes in the
investment portfolio measured in terms of the portfolio's currency basket
(31.12.00 = 100)

However, this difference in returns does not provide an accurate picture
of the profitability of the two asset classes. Substantial amounts have
been transferred from bonds to equities since January 2001. The market
value of the equity portfolio at the end of the quarter was 17.4 per cent
higher than the average purchase price. Thus equity investments have been
more profitable relative to bond investments than Chart 4-3 would suggest.
The cumulative return since 1 January 1998 has been 63.4 per cent for
the actual portfolio and 60.8 per cent for the benchmark portfolio (see
Chart 4-4). The difference between the two return figures is the gross
excess return achieved through management, a total of 2.6 percentage
points since 1998.
In absolute terms, the excess return has been NOK 2.0 billion. The chart
also shows that a positive excess return has been achieved in 26 of the 35
quarters since 1 January 1998.
Chart 4-4: Index for cumulative actual return and benchmark return
(31.12.97 = 100, left-hand scale) and quarterly gross excess return in
percentage points (right-hand scale) 1998-2006

Fixed income management
The market value of the fixed income portfolio grew by NOK 9.5 billion
to NOK 135.4 billion in the third quarter. A positive return on fixed
income investments and a weaker krone increased the value of the portfolio
by NOK 4.1 billion and NOK 5.4 billion respectively. A change in the krone
exchange rate has no effect, however, on the portfolio's international
purchasing power.
Approximately 85 per cent of the portfolio is managed internally by
Norges Bank using both enhanced indexing, where the main purpose is to
achieve the same market exposure as the benchmark, and active strategies
designed to outperform the benchmark.
In the third quarter of 2006, capital was transferred to one new mandate
assigned to an external manager: Bridgewater Associates Inc. was awarded a
mandate for specialist management in the US.
Equity management
The market value of the equity portfolio grew by NOK 7.9 billion to NOK
87.7 billion during the quarter. A positive return on equity investments
and a weaker krone increased the value of the portfolio by NOK 4.5 billion
and NOK 3.4 billion respectively. A change in the krone exchange rate has
no effect, however, on the portfolio's international purchasing power. The
entire equity portfolio was managed internally by Norges Bank at the end
of the quarter.
Market risk
The Executive Board's guidelines define a limit for the market risk
associated with the actual portfolio in relation to the market risk
associated with the benchmark portfolio. This relative market risk must
always be less than an expected tracking error of 1.5 percentage point.
Chart 4-5 shows that relative market risk has remained well below the
upper limit over the last 12 months. Expected tracking error was 0.21
percentage point at the end of the quarter.
Chart 4-5: Expected tracking error at each month-end over the last 12
months. Basis points

Information ratio
The information ratio is a measure of skill in the operational
management of the portfolio. It is the ratio of gross excess return for
the year to relative market risk (measured here as the actual standard
deviation of the gross excess return). Since 1 July 1998, the annual
average information ratio has been 0.89.
Table 4-4 provides a historical overview of the information ratio for
the Fund as a whole and for each asset class.
Table 4-4: Information ratios
Period | Portfolio | Equities | Fixed income |
Last 12 months | 0.91 | -0.95 | 2.35 |
Since 2002 | 1.60 | -0.54 | 2.70 |
Since 1999 | 1.28 | n/a | 1.97 |
Compliance with management guidelines
Table 4-5 provides an overview of risk and exposure in the investment
portfolio at the end of each quarter over the last year. It was a minor
breach of the Executive Board's guidelines in third quarter. There was an
error in the composition of the fixed-income benchmark. The error was
corrected without loss for the Fund.
Table 4-5: Risk and exposure
Risk |
| Actual |
|
| 30.09.05 | 31.12.05 | 31.03.06 | 30.06.06 | 30.09.06 |
Market risk (percentage points) | Tracking error | 0.22 | 0.31 | 0.16 | 0.25 | 0.21 |
Asset mix | Fixed income | 67.52 | 66.58 | 60.74 | 61.23 | 60.70 |
Equities | 32.48 | 33.42 | 39.26 | 38.77 | 39.30 |
Market distribution, equities | Europe | 49.32 | 48.56 | 50.00 | 50.91 | 51.18 |
Americas | 39.90 | 39.79 | 36.58 | 35.58 | 35.51 |
Asia and Oceania | 10.78 | 11.65 | 13.42 | 13.51 | 13.31 |
Market distribution, fixed income | Europe | 53.17 | 52.79 | 56.43 | 61.34 | 58.42 |
Americas | 38.68 | 39.28 | 37.38 | 32.44 | 35.70 |
Asia and Oceania | 8.15 | 7.93 | 6.19 | 6.22 | 5.88 |
Ownership stake (per cent) | Ownership stake max. 5 per cent | 0.45 | 0.97 | 0.68 | 0.82 | 0.95 |
Table 4-6 shows the composition of the bond portfolio (fixed income
portfolio excluding cash) based on credit ratings from Moody's and
Standard & Poor's (S&P). In the table, government bonds and
government-guaranteed bonds without credit ratings have been assigned the
credit rating of the issuing country.
Table 4-6: Bond portfolio on 30 September 2006 by credit rating.
Percentage of market value
Moody's | Standard & Poor's |
Rating | Percentage of total | Rating | Percentage of total |
Aaa | 54.72 | AAA | 51.93 |
Aa | 20.43 | AA | 18.25 |
A | 12.59 | A | 10.46 |
Baa | 5.87 | BBB | 6.83 |
Ba | 1.18 | BB | 1.53 |
Lower rating | 0.63 | Lower rating | 0.48 |
No rating | 4.58 | No rating | 10.52 |
Costs
The costs incurred in NBIM's management activities consist partly of
fees to external managers and custodian institutions, and partly of Norges
Bank's internal operating costs. In the first three quarters of 2006,
NBIM's total costs associated with the management of the investment
portfolio, including performance-based fees, amounted to NOK 96.5 million,
which corresponds to 0.06 per cent (annualised) of the average portfolio.
Buffer portfolio
Transfers to the buffer portfolio and transfers to the Government
Pension Fund - Global in the third quarter of 2006
Table 4-7 provides an overview of transfers of capital to the buffer
portfolio and the Government Pension Fund - Global in the third quarter of
2006. A total of NOK 40.7 billion was transferred to the portfolio from
the State's Direct Financial Interest in petroleum activities (SDFI)
during the quarter. A further NOK 28.3 billion was transferred to the
portfolio through Norges Bank's purchases of foreign exchange in the
market during the quarter.
A total of NOK 69.6 billion was transferred to the Government Pension
Fund - Global in the third quarter of 2006.
Table 4-7: Transfers to and from the buffer portfolio in the third
quarter of 2006. In millions of NOK
Period | Transferred from SDFI | Foreign exchange purchased in the market | Transferred to Government Pension Fund - Global
| Transferred to investment portfolio | Market value at end of period |
Q1 | 46 115 | 16 175 | 82 366 | - | - |
Q2 | 40 660 | 28 321 | 69 550 | - | - |
July | 13 433 | 10 497 | 24 065 | - | 3 082 |
August | 13 436 | 9 427 | 23 993 | - | 2 302 |
September | 13 776 | 17 845 | 31 409 | - | 2 700 |
Q3 | 40 645 | 37 768 | 79 467 | - | - |
Year to date | 127 420 | 82 264 | 231 383 | - | - |
Size and return
The market value of the buffer portfolio was NOK 2.7 billion at the end
of the third quarter of 2006, compared with NOK 3.5 billion on 30 June
2006. The return on the buffer portfolio during the quarter was 6.2 per
cent measured in NOK. In absolute terms, there was a return of NOK 257
million.
Key figures for the third quarter of 2006
- Market value NOK 15.5 billion on 30 September
- Return for the period of 2.52 per cent in international currency
- Return for the period of 7.06 per cent measured in NOK
- Excess return 0.01 percentage point
- Claims paid NOK 2.4 million
The fund's market value
The market value of the fund's international portfolio was NOK 15.5
billion at the end of the third quarter of 2006. In addition, the balance
on the working account was NOK 149.9 million. The market values of the
Petroleum Insurance Fund's foreign exchange portfolios at the end of each
quarter since September 2005 are shown in Table 5-1.
Table 5-1: Market value of the Petroleum Insurance Fund at the end of
each quarter. In millions of NOK
| | 30.09.05 | 31.12.05 | 31.03.06 | 30.06.06 | 30.09.06 |
EUR | 7 036 | 7 038 | 6 906 | 7 389 | 7 696 |
GBP | 2 098 | 2 120 | 2 073 | 2 220 | 2 349 |
USD | 4 892 | 5 039 | 4 835 | 5 091 | 5 492 |
Total market value | 14 026 | 14 197 | 13 814 | 14 700 | 15 535 |
Return on the fund
The return on the fund in the third quarter of 2006 was 2.52 per cent
measured in terms of the currency basket corresponding to the composition
of the benchmark portfolio (see Table 5-2). Measured in NOK, the return
was 7.06 per cent. The difference is due to the depreciation of the krone
against the currencies included in the benchmark portfolio during the
quarter. The return on the fund was 0.01 percentage point higher than the
return on the benchmark portfolio.
Table 5-2: Return on the Government Petroleum Insurance Fund. Per cent
| | Measured in terms of the benchmark currency
basket | Measured in NOK |
| | Actual portfolio | Benchmark portfolio | Actual portfolio | Benchmark portfolio | Excess return |
Q1 | -0.71 | -0.72 | -2.38 | -2.39 | 0.00 |
Q2 | -0.07 | -0.08 | -1.63 | -1.64 | 0.01 |
July | 0.93 | 0.91 | 0.08 | 0.06 | 0.02 |
August | 0.99 | 0.98 | 3.70 | 3.68 | 0.01 |
September | 0.57 | 0.59 | 3.16 | 3.18 | -0.02 |
Q3 | 2.52 | 2.50 | 7.06 | 7.04 | 0.01 |
Year to date | 1.72 | 1.69 | 2.81 | 2.78 | 0.03 |
The actual return figures include normal transaction costs associated
with indexing the portfolio. These costs are not included when calculating
the benchmark return. Norges Bank estimates that these costs amount to
about 0.02 per cent of the portfolio's value per year. On the other hand,
the actual return figures include income from lending fixed income
instruments, while the benchmark return does not. Norges Bank and some of
the external custodian institutions conduct lending operations.
Management of the fund
The entire portfolio is managed internally by Norges Bank and has always
been kept very close to the benchmark. The portfolio is invested primarily
in government bonds and other bonds included in the Lehman Global
Aggregate index's Government-related sub-sector. In addition, the
portfolio may be invested in German bonds issued against collateral in the
form of loans to the public sector (öffentliche Pfandbriefe), in
short-term money market instruments, and in unlisted fixed income
derivatives.
Claims payments of NOK 2.4 million were made during the quarter.
Market risk
The guidelines from the Ministry of Petroleum and Energy establish a
limit for market risk associated with the actual portfolio in relation to
market risk associated with the benchmark portfolio. This relative market
risk must always be less than a tracking error of 0.75 percentage point.
Relative market risk remained well below this upper limit throughout the
third quarter of 2006 (see Chart 5-1).
Chart 5-1: Expected tracking error over the last 12 months. Basis
points

The guidelines from the Ministry of Petroleum and Energy require an
average modified duration in each currency of 4 in the benchmark portfolio
and no higher than 5 in the actual portfolio as a whole. Table 5-3 shows
that the duration in each of the currencies in which the fund was invested
satisfied this requirement by a good margin in the third quarter.
Table 5-3: The portfolio's modified duration by currency on 30
September 2006
Currency | Actual portfolio | Benchmark portfolio |
EUR | 3.86 | 3.94 |
GBP | 3.92 | 4.08 |
USD | 4.15 | 4.05 |
Total | 3.98 | 4.00 |
Guidelines for management
Table 5-4 provides an overview of the limits for risk exposure set out
in the regulation and guidelines, and shows the portfolio's actual
exposure in relation to these limits at the end of the quarter. There were
no breaches of the guidelines during the third quarter of 2006.
Table 5-4: Risk exposure limits stipulated in the regulation and
guidelines
Risk | Limits | Actual |
|
| 30.09.05 | 31.12.05 | 31.03.06 | 30.06.06 | 30.09.06 |
Market risk | Maximum tracking error 0.75 percentage point | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.08 | 0.07 |
Interest rate risk | Modified duration max. 5 | 3.91 | 3.93 | 3.92 | 3.98 | 3.98 |
Table 5-5 shows the composition of the bond portfolio based on credit
ratings from Moody's and S&P. In the table, the agencies' detailed
subdivisions have been grouped together - for example, Moody's Aa includes
the sub-ratings Aa1, Aa2 and Aa3. Government bonds and
government-guaranteed bonds without credit ratings have been assigned the
credit rating of the issuing country.
Table 5-5: The bond portfolio on 30 September 2006 by credit rating
Moody's | Standard & Poor's |
Rating | Percentage of total market value | Rating | Percentage of total market value |
Aaa | 77.66 | AAA | 63.50 |
Aa | 21.73 | AA | 29.78 |
A | 4.90 | A | 4.90 |
No rating11 | 2.71 | No rating | 1.82 |
Costs
The management agreement between the Ministry of Petroleum and Energy
and Norges Bank establishes the principles for Norges Bank's remuneration
for managing the Petroleum Insurance Fund's portfolio. For 2006, a
remuneration rate of 0.06 per cent of the average market value of the
portfolio was stipulated. Remuneration of NOK 6.4 million was accrued
during the first three quarters of 2006.
Appendices
1.1 Government Pension Fund - Global
Table 1 shows the distribution of different instruments as presented in
Norges Bank's accounts. Off-balance-sheet items are shown in a separate
table. Table 2 shows the book return, which was NOK 127,767 million in the
first three quarters of 2006 prior to the deduction of Norges Bank's
management remuneration.
Table 1: The Pension Fund's international portfolio on 30 September
2006 by instrument. In millions of NOK
| 30.09.05 | 31.12.05 | 30.09.06 |
Short-term assets/debt, incl. deposits in foreign banks | 6 912 | 23 784 | -14 981 |
Money market investments in foreign financial institutions against
collateral in the form of securities | 474 743 | 558 979 | 664 740 |
Borrowing from foreign financial institutions against collateral in
the form of securities | -443 772 | -438 717 | -623 527 |
Foreign fixed income securities | 738 292 | 682 024 | 1 005 701 |
Foreign equities | 511 821 | 576 683 | 682 149 |
Adjustment of forward contracts and derivatives | -6 633 | -3 618 | -1 702 |
Total portfolio before management remuneration | 1 281 363 | 1 399 135 | 1 712 380 |
Management remuneration due | -833 | -1 239 | -1 108 |
Total portfolio | 1 280 530 | 1 397 896 | 1 711 272 |
Off-balance-sheet items (in millions of NOK) | 30.09.05 | 31.12.05 | 30.09.06 |
Liabilities |
|
|
|
Derivatives and forward contracts sold | 639 397 | 798 223 | 1 144 587 |
Derivatives and forward contracts purchased | 621 614 | 785 681 | 1 160 268 |
Rights |
|
|
|
Options sold | 290 | 5 273 | 26 480 |
Options purchased | 5 430 | 8 578 | 118 184 |
There is a slight difference in the market value used in the return
calculations (see Table 3-1) and the accounts to 30 September 2006. This
is due partly to accounting provisions and different valuation methods for
money market investments.
In Table 2, income and expenses in foreign currency have been
translated into NOK at the exchange rate on the transaction date, and
recognised as they have been earned or incurred according to the accruals
principle.
Table 2: Book return on the Pension Fund's international portfolio to
30 September 2006. In millions of NOK
| 30.09.05 | 31.12.05 | 31.06.06 | 30.09.06 |
Interest income | 20 715 | 27 815 | 18 325 | 30 195 |
Dividends | 8 543 | 10 309 | 8 909 | 11 832 |
Exchange rate adjustments12 | 6 789 | 33 610 | -49 146 | 13 536 |
Unrealised gains/losses on securities | 28 533 | 36 521 | -55 504 | -11 364 |
Realised gains/losses on securities | 34 301 | 49 908 | 29 629 | 36 261 |
Brokers' commissions | -18 | -19 | -25 | -37 |
Gains/losses on futures | 656 | 1 250 | -3 142 | -3 348 |
Gains/losses on options | -4 | 0 | 77 | 55 |
Gains/losses on equity swaps | 127 | 1 239 | 1 402 | 1 794 |
Gains/losses on interest rate swaps | -894 | 1 756 | 3 570 | 2 938 |
Book return on investments | 98 748 | 162 389 | -45 905 | 81 862 |
Accrued management remuneration | -833 | -1 239 | -726 | -1 108 |
Net return | 97 915 | 161 150 | -46 631 | 80 754 |
1.2 Investment portfolio
Table 1: The investment portfolio on 30 September 2006 by instrument.
In millions of NOK
| 30.09.05 | 31.12.05 | 30.09.06 |
Short-term assets/debt, incl. deposits in foreign banks | -4 129 | -9 159 | -12 070 |
Money market investments in foreign financial institutions against
collateral in the form of securities | 55 972 | 66 211 | 96 907 |
Borrowing from foreign financial institutions against collateral in
the form of securities | -61 260 | -61 002 | -98 978 |
Foreign fixed income securities | 155 162 | 146 676 | 148 834 |
Foreign equities | 65 995 | 70 615 | 88 699 |
Adjustment of forward contracts and derivatives | -783 | -377 | -303 |
Total portfolio | 210 957 | 212 964 | 13223 089 |
Off-balance-sheet items | 30.09.05 | 31.12.05 | 30.09.06 |
Liabilities | | | |
Derivatives and forward contracts sold | 92 385 | 137 043 | 201 036 |
Derivatives and forward contracts purchased | 84 692 | 136 662 | 207 393 |
Rights | | | |
Options sold | 43 | 759 | 11 664 |
Options purchased | 1 149 | 1 448 | 16 452 |
Table 2: Book return on the investment portfolio to 30 September 2006.
In millions of NOK
Return on the investment portfolio | 30.09.05 | 31.12.05 | 31.06.06 | 30.09.06 |
Interest income | 3 572 | 5 067 | 3 087 | 5 094 |
Dividends | 1 199 | 1 467 | 1 233 | 1 664 |
Exchange rate adjustments | 1 489 | 5 570 | -7 608 | 651 |
Unrealised gains/losses on securities | 4 535 | 5 318 | -8 888 | -2 308 |
Realised gains/losses on securities | 4 191 | 5 390 | 3 357 | 4 126 |
Brokers' commissions | -2 | -3 | -2 | -4 |
Gains/losses on futures | -203 | -145 | 144 | 82 |
Gains/losses on options | -5 | -3 | 10 | -5 |
Gains/losses on equity swaps | -42 | -13 | 91 | 53 |
Gains/losses on interest rate swaps | 94 | 440 | 784 | 240 |
Other operating expenses | -31 | -44 | -33 | -51 |
Net return | 14 797 | 23 044 | -7 825 | 9 542 |
1.3 Government Petroleum Insurance Fund
Table 1: The Petroleum Insurance Fund's international portfolio on 30
September 2006 by instrument. In thousands of NOK
| 30.09.05 | 31.12.05 | 30.09.06 |
Short-term assets/debt, incl. deposits in foreign banks | -419 397 | 32 040 | 206 958 |
Money market investments in foreign financial institutions against
collateral in the form of securities | 3 000 008 | 2 854 221 | 2 546 411 |
Borrowing from foreign financial institutions against collateral in
the form of securities | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Foreign fixed income securities | 11 447 122 | 11 312 548 | 12 987 634 |
Adjustment of forward contracts and derivatives | -1 100 | -983 | -1 827 |
Total portfolio before management remuneration | 14 026 634 | 14 197 825 | 15 739 177 |
Management remuneration due | -6 161 | -8 222 | -6 389 |
Total portfolio | 14 020 473 | 14 189 603 | 1415 732 788 |
Off-balance-sheet items (in thousands of NOK) | 30.09.05 | 31.12.05 | 30.09.06 |
Derivatives and forward contracts sold | 1 135 199 | 1 149 753 | 854 741 |
Derivatives and forward contracts purchased | 1 134 099 | 1 148 770 | 852 879 |
Table 2: Book return on the Government Petroleum Insurance Fund to 30
September 2006. In thousands of NOK
| 30.09.05 | 31.12.05 | 31.06.06 | 30.09.06 |
Interest income | 408 254 | 559 657 | 299 431 | 484 399 |
Exchange rate adjustments | 28 716 | 325 078 | -455 986 | 192 946 |
Unrealised gains/losses on securities | 17 474 | -18 437 | -370 349 | -177 463 |
Realised gains/losses on securities | 33 213 | 15 285 | -36 248 | -24 976 |
Gains/losses on derivatives | 694 | 811 | -683 | -880 |
Other operating expenses | -1 | -6 | 5 | 5 |
Net return | 488 350 | 882 309 | -563 830 | -474 032 |
Accrued management remuneration | -6 161 | -8 222 | -4 156 | -6 389 |
Net return | 482 189 | 874 087 | -567 986 | -467 643 |
Appendix 2:Mandate and benchmark portfolio
1. Government Pension Fund - Global
The Government Pension Fund was established by the Norwegian Parliament
by the Act of 20 December 2005. The fund has two parts: the Government
Pension Fund - Global (previously the Government Petroleum Fund,
established in 1990) and the Government Pension Fund - Norway (previously
the National Insurance Fund, established in 1967).
The Government Pension Fund - Global is a continuation of the Government
Petroleum Fund. At the same time as the Government Pension Fund was
established on 1 January 2006, the Ministry of Finance changed the
guidelines for the management of the fund. The most important changes were
that the maximum ownership stake in limited companies was raised to 5 per
cent (previously 3 per cent), the requirement of a minimum credit rating
for corporate bonds was dropped (previously a minimum of BBB investment
grade), and investments may now be made in commodities contracts and units
in mutual funds.
In the Revised National Budget for 2006, the Ministry of Finance
announced its decision to change the regional weights for the fund's
investments. The composition of the benchmark portfolio for equities is
now 15 per cent Asia and Oceania, 50 per cent Europe and 35 per cent
Americas and Africa. The composition of the benchmark portfolio for fixed
income investments is now 5 per cent Asia and Oceania, 60 per cent Europe
and 35 per cent Americas. The upper and lower limits for the regional
composition of the actual portfolio have been set at ten percentage points
either side of the regional weights in the benchmark portfolio, but with a
lower limit for fixed income investments in Asia and Oceania of 0 per
cent. The change was phased in gradually and was completed in the third
quarter of 2006.
The Ministry of Finance has adopted ethical guidelines for the fund's
investments. These guidelines require that ethical issues be addressed
through three mechanisms: corporate governance to promote
long-term financial returns, and negative screening and exclusion
of companies to avoid complicity in unacceptable violations of
fundamental ethical norms. Norges Bank is responsible for corporate
governance in accordance with the guidelines from the Ministry of Finance.
Norges Bank's Executive Board has approved principles of corporate
governance. The government has appointed a Council on Ethics which is to
advise the Ministry of Finance on negative screening and company
exclusions. The Ministry makes the final decision on the exclusion of
companies and instructs Norges Bank accordingly. With effect from 31 May
2006, the Ministry of Finance decided to exclude the companies Wal-Mart
and Freeport from the fund's investment universe. The reasons for their
exclusion are discussed in more detail in the Ministry's press release of
6 June 2006. An overview of the companies excluded from the investment
universe at the end of the third quarter of 2006 can be found in Appendix
4.
The Ministry of Finance has delegated the operational management of the
Government Pension Fund - Global to Norges Bank. The management mandate is
stipulated in a regulation and written guidelines issued by the Ministry.
A management agreement, which further regulates the relationship between
the Ministry of Finance as delegating authority and Norges Bank as
operational manager, has also been drawn up. The guidelines and management
agreement are available on Norges Bank's website.
According to the regulation, Norges Bank is to seek to achieve the
highest possible return within the limits set out in the regulation. The
Bank's strategy for achieving an excess return has been presented
previously in its annual reports. The Ministry of Finance is updated about
the management of the fund through quarterly and annual reports which are
also published.
Benchmark portfolio on 30 September 2006. Per cent
| Equities | Fixed income |
Country for equity benchmark Currency for fixed income benchmark | Strategic benchmark portfolio | Actual benchmark portfolio | Strategic benchmark portfolio | Actual benchmark portfolio |
Asset class weights | 40.0 | 40.2 | 60.0 | 59.8 |
Belgium | | 0.8 | | |
Finland | | 0.9 | | |
France | | 8.0 | | |
Greece | | 0.5 | | |
Ireland | | 0.6 | | |
Italy | | 3.2 | | |
Netherlands | | 2.7 | | |
Portugal | | 0.3 | | |
Spain | | 3.2 | | |
Germany | | 5.3 | | |
Austria | | 0.4 | | |
Euro area (EUR) | | 25.8 | | 47.9 |
UK (GBP) | | 16.9 | | 9.7 |
Denmark (DKK) | | 0.5 | | 0.7 |
Switzerland (CHF) | | 5.0 | | 0.5 |
Sweden (SEK) | | 1.8 | | 1.1 |
Total Europe | 50.0 | 50.1 | 60.0 | 59.9 |
US (USD) | | 31.4 | | 33.1 |
Brazil | | 0.6 | | |
Canada (CAD) | | 2.0 | | 2.0 |
Mexico | | 0.4 | | |
South Africa |
| 0.5 |
|
|
Total Americas and Africa | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.2 |
Australia (AUD) | | 2.1 | | 0.2 |
Hong Kong | | 1.2 | | |
Japan (JPY) | | 8.9 | | 4.5 |
New Zealand (NZD) | | 0.1 | | 0.1 |
Singapore (SGD) | | 0.3 | | 0.2 |
South Korea | | 1.4 | | |
Taiwan | | 1.0 | | |
Total Asia and Oceania | 15.0 | 14.9 | 5.0 | 5.0 |
The Ministry of Finance has specified countries and currencies that are
to be included in the fund's benchmark portfolio. The benchmark portfolio
consists of specific equities and fixed income instruments and reflects
the delegating authority's investment strategy for the Pension Fund. The
benchmark portfolio provides the basis for managing risk in the
operational management of the fund and for evaluating Norges Bank's
management performance.
The strategic benchmark portfolio for the Pension Fund is composed of
FTSE equity indices for large and medium-sized companies in 27 countries,
and of Lehman Global Aggregate and Lehman Global Real fixed income indices
in the currencies of 21 countries. Equities account for 40 per cent of the
fund's strategic benchmark portfolio, while fixed income instruments
account for 60 per cent. The equity portion of the benchmark consists of
equities listed on stock exchanges in Europe (50 per cent), the Americas
and Africa (35 per cent), and Asia and Oceania (15 per cent). The regional
distribution in the fixed income benchmark is 60 per cent Europe, 35 per
cent Americas, and 5 per cent Asia and Oceania.
Asset class and regional weights change continuously as a result of
changes in market prices for the securities in the benchmark portfolio.
The monthly transfers of capital to the Pension Fund are to be used to
bring the asset class and regional weights back as close to the original
weights as possible, providing that this does not necessitate selling
anything from the existing portfolio. Thus, even after the transfer of new
capital, the actual benchmark may differ somewhat from the strategic
benchmark portfolio described above. The actual benchmark provides the
basis for managing risk and measuring the performance of the Pension Fund.
A substantial difference between the actual benchmark and the strategic
benchmark over time will trigger full rebalancing. This kind of
rebalancing did not occur in the third quarter of 2006.
The table above shows the weights in the actual benchmark on 30
September 2006. The weights in the fixed income benchmark apply to the
currency in which the securities are issued. Therefore, the weight for
each country in the euro area is not listed.
2. Norges Bank's foreign exchange reserves - investment portfolio
The foreign exchange reserves are to be available for interventions in
the foreign exchange market in connection with the implementation of
monetary policy or to promote financial stability. The reserves are
divided into a money market portfolio and an investment portfolio. In
addition, a buffer portfolio is used for the regular foreign exchange
purchases made for the Government Pension Fund - Global. Within Norges
Bank, the investment portfolio and buffer portfolio are managed by NBIM,
while the money market portfolio is managed by Norges Bank Monetary Policy
(PPO).
Norges Bank's Executive Board lays down guidelines for the management of
the foreign exchange reserves and has delegated responsibility to the
Governor for issuing supplementary rules. NBIM manages the investment
portfolio in accordance with guidelines laid down by the Executive Board
and the Governor of Norges Bank. The Executive Board's guidelines are
available on Norges Bank's website. In November 2005, the Executive Board
decided to increase the equity portion of the investment portfolio from 30
to 40 per cent. The phasing in of this higher proportion of equities was
completed on 30 April 2006. With effect from 1 January 2006, the Executive
Board decided that the maximum ownership stake in any one company be
raised from 3 to 5 per cent.
If combined holdings in the foreign exchange reserves and the Government
Pension Fund - Global exceed 5 per cent, a special report must be
submitted to the Executive Board. The Executive Board has laid down joint
guidelines for corporate governance in the two funds, and has also ruled
that companies which the Ministry of Finance has decided to exclude from
the Pension Fund should also be excluded from the foreign exchange
reserves.
Benchmark portfolio on 30 September 2006. Per cent
| Equities | Fixed income |
Country for equity benchmark Currency for fixed income benchmark | Strategic benchmark portfolio | Actual benchmark portfolio | Strategic benchmark portfolio | Actual benchmark portfolio |
Asset class weights | 40.0 | 39.4 | 60.0 | 60.6 |
Belgium | | 0.8 | | |
Finland | | 0.9 | | |
France | | 8.2 | | |
Greece | | 0.5 | | |
Ireland | | 0.6 | | |
Italy | | 3.3 | | |
Netherlands | | 2.8 | | |
Portugal | | 0.3 | | |
Spain | | 3.3 | | |
Germany | | 5.4 | | |
Austria | | 0.4 | | |
Euro area (EUR) | | 26.5 | | 46.7 |
UK (GBP) | | 17.3 | | 9.3 |
Denmark (DKK) | | 0.5 | | 0.7 |
Switzerland (CHF) | | 5.2 | | 0.6 |
Sweden (SEK) | | 1.9 | | 1.1 |
Total Europe | 50.0 | 51.4 | 58.0 | 58.5 |
US (USD) | | 30.9 | | 33.5 |
Brazil | | 0.6 | | |
Canada (CAD) | | 21.9 | | 3.3 |
Mexico | | 0.4 | | |
South Africa |
| 0.5 |
|
|
Total Americas and Africa | 35.0 | 34.4 | 37.0 | 36.7 |
Australia (AUD) | | 2.0 | | 0.2 |
Hong Kong | | 1.1 | | |
Japan (JPY) | | 8.5 | | 4.6 |
New Zealand (NZD) | | 0.1 | |
|
Singapore (SGD) | | 0.3 | |
|
South Korea | | 1.3 | | |
Taiwan | | 1.0 | | |
Total Asia and Oceania | 15.0 | 14.3 | 5.0 | 4.8 |
With effect from 31 May 2006, the Ministry of Finance decided to exclude
the companies Wal-Mart and Freeport from the Pension Fund's investment
universe. An overview of the companies excluded from the investment
universe can be found in Appendix 4.
The strategic benchmark portfolio for the investment portfolio is
composed of FTSE equity indices for large and medium-sized companies in 27
countries, and of Lehman Global Aggregate fixed income indices in the
currencies of 18 countries. Equities account for 40 per cent of the fund's
strategic benchmark portfolio, while fixed income instruments account for
60 per cent. The equity portion of the benchmark consists of equities
listed on stock exchanges in Europe (50 per cent), the Americas and Africa
(35 per cent), and Asia and Oceania (15 per cent). The regional
distribution in the fixed income benchmark is 58 per cent Europe, 37 per
cent Americas, and 5 per cent Asia and Oceania.
The table above shows the weights in the actual benchmark on 30
September 2006. The weights in the fixed income benchmark apply to the
currency in which the securities are issued. Therefore, the weight for
each country in the euro area is not listed.
3. Government Petroleum Insurance Fund
Under the Act relating to the Government Petroleum Insurance Fund,
Norges Bank is responsible for the operational management of the fund. The
management mandate is stipulated in a regulation and written guidelines
issued by the Ministry of Petroleum and Energy. A management agreement,
which further regulates the relationship between the Ministry as
delegating authority and Norges Bank as operational manager, has also been
drawn up. The guidelines and management agreement are available on Norges
Bank's website.
The Ministry of Petroleum and Energy has established a strategic
benchmark portfolio for the fund. The currency distribution of the
benchmark portfolio is 50 per cent EUR, 15 per cent GBP and 35 per cent
USD. The benchmark index is composed of the Lehman Global Aggregate
Treasury indices for the three currencies as well as a money market
deposit to weight the interest rate risk, as measured by modified
duration, in each currency to 4. During the year, the currency weights
fluctuate with market developments. However, at the beginning of July each
year, the weights are reset to the strategic currency weights.
The table below shows the currency weights in the fund's strategic and
actual benchmark on 30 September 2006
Benchmark portfolio on 30 September 2006. Per cent
Currency | Strategic benchmark portfolio | Actual benchmark portfolio |
EUR | 50.0 | 49.5 |
GBP | 15.0 | 15.1 |
USD | 35.0 | 35.4 |
Total | 100.0 | 100.0 |
4. Companies excluded from the investment universe
In accordance with the ethical guidelines for the
Government Pension Fund - Global, the Ministry of Finance has decided to
exclude a total of 20 companies from the fund's investment universe. The
decisions were based on recommendations from the Council on Ethics. The
background for the exclusions is discussed in greater detail in press
releases from the Ministry of Finance. The Council's recommendations are
available at http://odin.dep.no/etikkradet/english/bn.html. The table
below provides an overview of the companies that have been excluded from
the fund. The same companies have also been excluded from the investment
universe for Norges Bank's foreign exchange reserves.
Companies excluded from the investment universe by the Ministry of
Finance as at 30 September 2006
Date | Reason | Company |
26 April 2002 | Production of anti-personnel landmines | Singapore Technologies, Singapore |
31 August 2005 | Manufacture of key components for cluster bombs | Alliant Techsystems Inc., US EADS Company N.V., Netherlands15 EADS Finance B.V., Netherlands15 General Dynamics Corporation, US L-3 Communications Holdings Inc., US Lockheed Martin Corporation, US Raytheon Company, US Thales SA, France |
31 December 2005 | Involved in the production of nuclear weapons | BAE Systems Plc, UK Boeing Company, US Finmeccanica SpA, Italia Honeywell International Inc., US Northrop Grumman Corp., US Safran SA, France United Technologies Corp., US |
31 May 2006 | Breaches of human and labour rights (1) Damage to the environment (2) | Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (1) Wal-Mart de Mexico S.A (1) Freeport-McMoRan Copper and Gold Inc. (2) |
Kerr-McGee Corporation was excluded from the investment universe on 31
May 2005. The company has since been merged with Anadarko Petroleum and
became part of the investment universe again from 30 June 2006.
Appendix 3: Methodology for the calculation of returns and transaction
costs
The return calculations are based on internationally
recognised standards.
All financial instruments are valued at market prices, and
the index supplier's prices are generally used for securities in the
benchmark indices16.
Bloomberg's prices are used for equities and fixed income securities that
are not in the benchmark index. In addition, prices from Reech are used
for some fixed income derivatives, and prices from some equity markets are
taken directly from the local stock exchanges.
Interest expenses and income, dividends and withholding
tax are accounted for on an accruals basis when calculating returns.
Income and expenses relating to transactions not yet settled are
recognised on the trade date.
Transfers to the fund and between the equity and fixed
income portfolios are made on the last business day of each month. The
return for each month can then be calculated by looking at monthly changes
in market value adjusted for incoming and outgoing payments. The
geometrical return is used for longer periods, such as quarterly, annual
and year-to-date returns. This means that the return indices for each
sub-period are multiplied. This return is thus a time-weighted return
based on the returns for the individual months.
The return is calculated in both NOK and local currency.
The NOK return is calculated on the basis of market values in local
currency translated into NOK using WM/Reuters exchange rates.17
The return in local currency is obtained by calculating
the geometrical difference between the fund's return in NOK and the return
on the currency basket. The currency basket corresponds to the currency
weights in the benchmark portfolio, and the return indicates how much the
krone has appreciated/depreciated against the currencies in the benchmark
portfolio.
The excess return emerges as an arithmetical difference
between the returns on the actual portfolio and the benchmark portfolio.
Returns are calculated in a separate system and then
reconciled with the accounting system. Differences between market values
in the return models and the accounts are primarily due to different
valuation principles for money market investments. Provisions are also
made in the accounts to cover remuneration to Norges Bank as well as
accrued income from securities lending.
Norges Bank estimates transaction costs associated with
phasing in new capital into the Pension Fund. New capital is transferred
to the fund in the form of cash. When the capital is invested in
securities (equities and fixed income instruments), both direct and
indirect costs will be incurred. In line with normal market practice,
Norges Bank has used a model that calculates direct and indirect
transaction costs individually since the beginning of 2005. Indirect
transaction costs comprise three main components: liquidity costs, market
impact and opportunity costs. Norges Bank's model calculates transaction
costs in the fixed income portfolio based on the full bid-ask spread.
Indirect transaction costs in the equity portfolio are estimated using
StockFactsPro®. Market impact in the fixed income market is a function
of sector, market conditions, transaction size, size of the loan issued,
and liquidity of the issuer. In most cases, the contributions from these
variables are negligible.
Appendix 4: Definition of expected tracking error
The Ministry of Finance has set the limit for relative market risk in
the management of the Pension Fund on the basis of expected tracking
error. This measure is defined as the expected value of the standard
deviation of the difference between the annual return on the actual
portfolio and the return on the benchmark portfolio. When deviations from
the benchmark are controlled by means of an upper limit for expected
tracking error, it is highly probable that the actual return will lie
within a band around the return on the benchmark. The lower the limit for
tracking error, the narrower the band will be. Given an expected tracking
error of 1.5 percentage points, or 150 basis points, the actual return on
the portfolio will probably deviate from the benchmark return by less than
1.5 percentage points in two out of three years.
Appendix 5: Norges Bank Investment Management (NBIM)
NBIM is a separate business area at Norges Bank. The Executive Director
of NBIM reports to the Governor of Norges Bank. The Executive Board has
overriding responsibility for Norges Bank's operations (see organisation
chart). The Supervisory Council is the Bank's overseeing body and adopts
the Bank's budget. Norges Bank's Audit Department reports to the
Supervisory Council and is responsible for operational auditing of
investment management operations. The Office of the Auditor General is
responsible for the final audit of the Government Pension Fund - Global
and the Government Petroleum Insurance Fund, and bases its work partly on
material from the Audit Department.

The Executive Board establishes the framework for NBIM's operations
through its decisions concerning NBIM's strategy plans. The strategy plan
covers a three-year period and is revised every other year. The main
objectives for the period 2005-2007 are to achieve an annual excess return
of at least 0.25 percentage point by means of active management and to
ensure a high level of confidence among clients and the general public.
Underlying these objectives is an acknowledgement that Norges Bank manages
substantial assets on behalf of Norwegian society.
NBIM has separate business lines for equity and fixed income management.
The heads of Equities and Fixed Income are responsible for all portfolio
investments and performance, strategic planning and cost management within
their respective asset class. Each business line has a chief operating
officer who is responsible for support functions, transactions and IT
systems. The chief operating officers report both to their respective
business line manager and to the Executive Director of NBIM. In addition,
three departments which are organisationally independent of the two
business lines report directly to NBIM's Executive Director. These
departments are responsible for risk measurement, performance measurement,
accounting, compliance with investment guidelines, negotiation of legal
agreements, personnel policy, IT policy and administrative shared
services. At the end of September 2006, NBIM had 134 permanent employees.
1 The value of the
buffer portfolio, which amounted to approximately NOK 2.7 billion on 30
September 2006, is included in the total.
2 When calculating
the returns on the actual and benchmark portfolios, monthly returns are
used which are linked together using geometrical methods. The figures are
percentages and have been annualised. The excess return is calculated
using arithmetical methods.
3 The standard
deviation is a measure of variations in the return/excess return during a
period. Each monthly return/excess return is compared with the mean for
the period. The higher the standard deviation, the greater the variations
relative to the mean, and the higher the risk.
4 Tracking error is
explained in Appendix 4.
5 The IR is a
measure of risk-adjusted return, and is used to measure the degree of
skill in investment management. It is calculated as the ratio between
excess return and the actual relative market risk to which the portfolio
has been exposed. The IR reveals the level of excess return generated for
each unit of risk.
6 The composition
of the Pension Fund's benchmark portfolio differs from the FTSE All-World
Index, and therefore the return on it will also be different.
7 Inflation is
calculated as a weighted average of the increase in consumer prices in the
countries included in the benchmark portfolio.
8 There is no
absolutely correct method of calculating the distribution of active risk.
The distribution in the chart is based on summation of the Value-at-Risk
(VaR) for internal and external mandates, disregarding the correlation
between the different mandates.
9 The Ministry of
Finance has changed the regional weights in 2006, cf. discussion in the
Revised National Budget for 2006.
10 Weighted
average of consumer price inflation in the countries included in the
benchmark portfolio in the years in question.
11 If a security
has no rating from Moody's, it will have an approved rating from one of
the other agencies (S&P or Fitch). The same is the case for S&P.
12 The exchange
rate adjustments in the accounts in the table above have been calculated
on the basis of the fund's actual composition. Income and expenses are
translated at the exchange rate on the transaction date, and assets and
liabilities are translated at the market rate at the end of the month.
This figure will differ from the estimated exchange rate effect in the
measurement of returns. When measuring returns, the exchange rate effect
is calculated on the basis of the benchmark's currency composition at the
beginning of each month and associated exchange rate movements.
13 There is a
difference in the market value used in the return calculations (see Table
4-1) and the accounts to 30 September 2006. This is due to internal
netting of receivables and payables between the investment portfolio and
the buffer portfolio.
14 There is a
difference in the market value used in the return calculations (see Table
5-1) and the accounts to 30 September 2006. This is due to the netting of
receivables and payables between Norges Bank's foreign exchange reserves
and the Petroleum Insurance Fund.
15 In a letter to
Norges Bank dated 21 March 2006, EADS stated that the company no longer
has investments in the production of cluster munitions. On 10 May 2006,
the Ministry of Finance announced that the Council on Ethics had
reconsidered the basis for excluding EADS. The Ministry has decided to
follow the Council's recommendation that EADS remain excluded from the
investment universe, due to the company being involved in the production
of key components for nuclear weapons.
16 Lehman Global
Aggregate (LGA) and FTSE for fixed income and equity instruments
respectively.
17WM/Reuters
Closing Spot Rates, fixed at 4 p.m. London time.
17WM/Reuters
Closing Spot Rates, fixed at 4 p.m. London time.